patterns / capex_surge
buyout thesisthe fixed-asset base jumped 30%+ in a year — heavy investment that needs asset finance and, the backtest says, often precedes a sale
A step-change in the fixed-asset base: the company just invested heavily — new plant, premises or fleet. That investment usually needs financing, and in the backtest a capex jump precedes a sale 1.7× as often (owners often invest to make the business saleable, or a buyer funds the expansion).
Asset-finance origination (refinance the capex, sale-and-leaseback) and an acquisition-finance lead — the growth story is already on the books.
The badge is recomputed nightly across the whole index, and re-evaluated live the moment a company files — so a match is always a statement about the current register, not a stale list. Like every signal on the radar: a prompt to look closer, never a verdict.